Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Onward Fantasy Forwards


My fantasy flock, let us play . . .

Most pools have between 12 and 14 teams. If you are in a larger league or a smaller league this sermon is not for you.

As we approach the All Star break many teams on the cusp of contention will be looking for an upgrade a forward. You may still be a few days or weeks from pulling a trade. If you are in a keeper league it could be worse. You may be a tweener and not sure if you are buying or selling. However, a waiver move at this time of year can pay huge dividends either way. If you get the right player now you can use him for the rest of the season or your can move him in a package for a more valuable keeper who is under performing at the deadline.


For this example let’s take two Central Division rivals. Both Victor Stalberg and Todd Bertuzzi are available in roughly 20% of standard leagues. If you keep the same squad for the playoffs you may be inclinded to take Bertuzzi as the Red Wings are flying high. However, the Hawks are no slouches either.

Bertuzzi, has been good for 44+ points for the last two years. He is on pace for 43 and has been more consistent week to week so far this fantasy season. He has more of a chance of slowing down due to age, but is still playing on the second line and second PP unit. There is little competition for his role on the team so nothing to worry about there.

Stalberg has been a bit more streaky. However, his streakiness happens to coincide with moving to top line with Toews and Kane. You need any player on the top line in Chicago on your fantasy team, but he isn’t getting any power play love. He is on pace for 48 points and shoots the puck a bit more than Bertuzzi for those of you in leagues that score shots. He is also 6’3” so he could increase his physical play if you play in a league that place value on hits or PIMs. This is his third season, traditionally a break-out year for players, but has never posted more than 33 points in a campaign. Combine that with the fact Dan Carcillo is out for the foreseeable future and the cap tight Hawks mostly likely can’t afford a top six winger and you have a great deal of value.

So where does that leave you. It is simple. Look at your team. If you have a healthy lead or are just looking for a solid add at this time. Move on Todd Bertuzzi. Odds are he will produce in the second half as he has always produced and net you 18-20 points.

However, if you are looking for a lottery ticket, but can’t afford a total bust . . . Stalberg is your man. He should post a solid 20 points in the second half with the potential for as many as 33-36 if he can maintain his pace on the top line.

Best of luck and go in peace.

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